Papers


    2021
  • Carmo-Costa T, Bilbao R, Ortega P, Teles-Machado A, Dutra E (2021) Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat contetnt in the North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.21203/rs.3.rs-310236/v1
  • Pires CAL, Hannachi A (2021) Bispectral analysis of nonlinear interaction, predictability and stochastic modelling with application to ENSO, Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 73:1, 1-30, DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2020.1866393
  • Plecha SM, Soares PMM, Silva-Fernandes SM et al. On the uncertainty of future projections of Marine Heatwave events in the North Atlantic Ocean. Clim Dyn 56, 2027–2056 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05529-3
  • 2022
  • Athanasiadis PJ, Ogawa F, Omrani N-E, Keenlyside N, Schiemann R, Baker AJ, Vidalev PL, Bellucci A, Ruggieri A, Haarsma R, Roberts, Roberts C, Novak L, Gualdi S (2022) Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. J. Climate, 1-61. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-21-0515.1/JCLI-D-21-0515.1.xml
  • Bellucci A, Mattei D, Ruggieri P, Famooss Paolini L (2022) Intermittent behavior in the AMOC-AMV relationship https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022GL098771
  • Boljka L, Omrani N-E, Keenlyside NS (2022) Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific https://wcd.copernicus.org/preprints/wcd-2022-51/wcd-2022-51.pdf
  • Cheung H-N, Keenlyside N, Koenigk T, Yang S, Tian T, Xu Z, Gao Y, Ogawa F, Omrani N-E, Qiao S, Zhou W (2022) Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections." Climate Dynamics 59(1): 433-454.
  • Docquier D, Vannitsem S, Ragone F, Wyser K, Liang XS (2022) Causal links between Arctic sea ice and its potential drivers based on the rate of information transfer https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095892
  • Famooss Paolini L, Athanasiadis P, Ruggieri P, Bellucci A (2022) The Atmospheric Response to Meridional Shifts of the Gulf Stream SST Front and Its Dependence on Model Resolution https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/18/JCLI-D-21-0530.1.xml
  • Gain A.K., Bühler Y., Haegeli P., Molinari D., Parise M., Peres D.J., Pinto J.G., Schröter K., Trigo R.M., Llasat M.C., Kreibich H. (2022) Brief communication: Key papers of 20 years, in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 985–993, 2022 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-985-2022
  • Hallam S., Josey S.A., McCarthy G.D. et al. (2022) A regional (land–ocean) comparison of the seasonal to decadal variability of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream 1871–2011. Clim Dyn 59, 1897–1918 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06185-5
  • Langehaug HR, Ortega P, Counillon F, Matei D, Maroon E, Keenlyside N, Mignot J, Wang Y, Swingedouw D, Bethke I, Yang S, Danabasoglu G, Bellucci A, Ruggieri P, Nicolì D, Årthun M (2022) Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway, J. Climate, 2111–2131, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1
  • Omrani N-E, Keenlyside N, Matthes K, Boljka L, Zanchettin D, Jungclaus JH, Lubis SW (2022) Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5(1), 59, doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1
  • Payne MR, Danabasoglu G, Keenlyside N, Matei D, Miesner AK, Yang S, Yeager SG (2022) Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts, Nature Communications, 13(1), 2660, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0
  • Simolo C, Corti S (2022) Quantifying the role of variability in future intensification of heat extremes. Nat Commun 13, 7930 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35571-0
  • Simon A, Plecha S, Russo A, Teles-Machado A, Donat M, Auger P-A, Trigo RM (2022) Hot and cold marine extreme events in the Mediterranean over the period 1982-2021. Frontiers in Marine Science, Agost 2022, vol. 9., doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.892201
  • Simon A, Gastineau G, Frankignoul C, Lapin V, Ortega P (2022) Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulates the Arctic sea-ice loss influence on the midlatitude atmospheric circulation in winter, Weather Clim. Dynam., 3, 845–861, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-845-2022
  • Suo L, Gastineau G, Gao Y, Liang Y-C, Ghosh R, Tian T, Zhang Y, Kwon Y-O, Otterå O H, Yang S, Matei D (2022) Simulated contribution of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation to the west Eurasia cooling in 1998-2013, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac88e5
  • Suo L, Gao Y, Gastineau G, Liang Y-C, Ghosh R, Tian T, Zhang Y, Kwon Y-O, Matei D, Otterå O H, Yang S (2022) Arctic Troposphere Warming Driven by External Radiative Forcing and Modulated by the Pacific and Atlantic, JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036679
  • Svendsen L, Keenlyside N, Muilwijk M, Bethke I, Omrani N-E, Gao Y (2022) Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century, Climate Dynamics, 57(11), 3223-3243, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05868-9
  • Vannitsem S, Liang XS (2022) Dynamical dependencies at monthly and interannual time scales in the climate system: Study of the North Pacific and Atlantic regions http://doi.org/10.16993/tellusa.44
  • 2023
  • Docquier D., Vannitsem S., Bellucci A. The rate of information transfer as a measure of ocean-atmosphere interactions. Earth System Dynamics https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-577-2023
  • Hallam, S. et al. The relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies, wind and translation speed and North Atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall over ocean and land. Environ. Res. Commun. 5 025007 (2023). https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/acb31c
  • McCarthy G.D., Plecha S., Charria G., Simon A., Poppeschi C., Russo, A. The marine heatwave west of Ireland in June 2023 https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4498
  • Patrizio C. R., Athanasiadis P. J., Frankignoul C., Iovino D., Masina S., Famooss Paolini L., Gualdi S. Improved Extratropical North Atlantic Atmosphere–Ocean Variability with Increasing Ocean Model Resolution. Journal of Climate, 36(24), 8403-8424. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0230.1
  • Pérez-Alarcón A., Fernández-Alvarez J.C., Sorí R., Liberato M.L.R., Trigo R.M., Nieto R., Gimeno L. (2023) How much of precipitation over the Euroregion Galicia – Northern Portugal is due to tropical-origin cyclones?: A Lagrangian approach, Atmospheric Research, Volume 285, 106640 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106640
  • Plecha S.M., Teles-Machado A., Tomé R., Mateus P. (2023) Offshore wind data assessment near the Iberian Peninsula over the last 25 years. Environmental Research: Climate 2:025008, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/accf2d https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/accf2d/meta
  • Simon A., C. Pires, T. L. Frölicher, A. Russo, Long-term warming and interannual variability contributions to marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean. Weather and Climate Extremes, 100619 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100619
  • Simon A., Poppeschi C., Plecha S., Charria G., Russo A. Coastal and regional marine heatwaves and cold spells in the northeastern Atlantic, Ocean Sci., 19, 1339–1355 https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1339-2023
  • 2024
  • Docquier D., Di Capua G., Donner R. V., Pires C., Simon A., Vannitsem S. A comparison of two causal methods in the context of climate analyses. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-115-2024
  • Famooss Paolini L., Omrani N.-E., Bellucci A., Athanasiadis P. J., Ruggieri P., Patrizio C. R., Keenlyside N. Nonstationariy in the NAO-Gulf Stream SST Front Interaction, Journal of Climate https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0476.1
  • Meccia, V.L., Simolo C., Bellomo, K., and Corti S., Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC 2024 Environ. Res. Lett. 19 014054 DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ad14b0 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad14b0
  • Monteiro dos Santos D., Libonati R., Garcia B.N., Geirinhas J.L., Salvi B.B., Lima e Silva E., Rodrigues J.A.,Peres L.F., Russo A., Gracie R., Gurgel H., Trigo R.M. (2024) " Twenty-first-century demographic and social inequalities of heat-related deaths in Brazilian urban areas. PLoS ONE 19(1): e0295766. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0295766
  • Pires C., Docquier D., Vannitsem S. A general theory to estimate Information transfer in nonlinear systems. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2023.133988